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pezio 33,1K

pezio

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Niemcy v Włochy 2 @1,85 4x400k sts

Piękne kursiwo. Włoszki w eliminacyjnym biegu uzyskały lepszy czas, a dodatkowo dzisiaj wzmacniają się mocną Mangione.

Irlandki @1,65 z Polkami , Adeleke zgodnie z planem wskakuje za najsłabszą, Natalia pobiegnie w miejsce Justyny.
 
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pezio 33,1K

pezio

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Belgia v Polska 4x100m 1 @1,70 sts

W eliminacjach lepsi byli Belgowie, a dodatkowo nam wypada Wdowik - drugi nasz najlepszy sprinter. W jego miejsce Łukasz Żok, nominalny dwustumetrowiec, który biega ok. 0,3-0,4s wolniej.
 
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OnlineSniperTips 95,8K

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Zaproponowane do wyróźnienia:
+2
Diamond league Paris

Kassanavoid/Ghelber 1 (mlot K) + Nowicki/Halasz 1 (mlot M) @ 1.57*1.50 = 2.36 5/10 STSbet
Tinch/Muratake 2 (110pl. M) @ 2.68 4/10 STSbet
Czykier/Martinez 2 (110pl. M) @ 2.01 5/10 STSbet
Gardasevič/Koala 2 (w dal K) @ 2.01 5/10 STSbet

Kassanavoid had a heartbreak at US trials, failing to qualify for olympics. I think she will want to prove that it was only a unlucky day, she should throw aroun 72-73 metres today. Ghelber is not in optimal form, she threw 71.79 at home, but in last seasons she usually throws 1-2 metres less in next meeting so i expect something between 69-71 today. Nowicki had bad day at Polish champs, but he is better than Halasz and should throw aroud 78-79 metres. Hungarian usually saves best throws for big championships, i do not think he will be attacking 80 metres today. Tinch ran 13.03 with ideal wind (+2.0) at US trials and did not qualify for Olympics. He always performs better in US than in Europe, I do not think he will go under 13.15 today. Muratake is young talent from Japan, he ran 13.07 recently. I watched that race and it was on very wet track with heavy rain, so very impressive. He is unexperienced in international competitions, so he could flop today and it would not surprise me, but he cannot be an outsider against very unstable Tinch. Czykier has ran several results around 13.40-13.45 recently and i do not see him changing that and improve today. Martinez messed up his race at Spanish nationals and still ran 13.42, I expect him to ran better today around 13.30 and he should be favourite against Damian. Milica and Marthe met up once in China this year, Koala won 668 vs 652. She jumped 672 recently at African champs and I expect her to jump even more today. Milica jumped 673 in always windy Greece few weeks ago and then withdrew from another competition in Greece and in Serbia champs, so something was not OK. Koala should beat her today.

Summary: Everything OK and in line with my analysis. Stay tuned for DL in Monaco on next Friday! We are just getting started.
 
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G 7,3K

gumazi

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Zaproponowane do wyróźnienia:
+1
P. Lisek uzyska wynik 5.85m. lub lepszy Nie 1.45 chłop niema formy nie skoczy tyle ma problem na 5.80
 
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Diamond league Paris

N. Kaczmarek uzyska wynik 49.75s. lub lepszy TAK + J. Vadlejch uzyska uzyska wynik 87.75m. lub lepszy NIE @ 1.45*1.70 = 2.47 5/10 STSbet

Natalia will be very motivated to beat Paulino, so I think these 2 will push each other hard in last 100 metres and she should finish under 49.50 today, so 49.75 should be easy. It is quite windy and not too hot in Paris, hammer throwers had difficulties to throw far. Vadlejch prefers higher temperatures, i see him between 86-87 range today.

Summary: Unlucky, Natalia showed strong finish but it was not enough. Vadlejch easily under 87 meters. Next meet is Monaco DL on 12th July!
 
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gumazi

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E. Katzberg uzyska wynik 81.00m. lub lepszy kusi na Nie po 1.7 ma ktos zdanie? również jak nasi dziś fajdek lepszy od nowickiego ?
 
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Gyulai István Memorial

Nene/Molnár 2 (400 M) @ 2.13 4/10 STSbet
S. Gardiner uzyska wynik 44.70s. lub lepszy TAK + K. Thompson uzyska wynik 9.95s. lub lepszy TAK @ 1.84*1.70 = 3.13 3/10 STSbet
Enekwechi/Walsh 2 (kula M) @ 2.46 4/10 STSbet

Nene ran 45.55 two days ago in Hengelo, he has always between 45.20-45.70 in the last weeks. Molnár ran 45.04 at Europeans and 45.40 in Budapest last week. This is his home meeting, so he will have bigger motivation to run fast today, last year he was 44.98 at this meeting. Gardiner is clear favourite today and with Pillay and Bailey in startlist, they should push him to at least 44.50, he won under 44 second last year at this meeting. Jamaican Kishane Thompson is emerging as one of the favourites for Olympic gold in Paris. I am surprised he is running today, I thought that he would only compete in Paris because of his injury history. So everything has to be going very good for him that he is running today. 9.95 is a pedestrian time for him, only an injury will stop him from running that time today (which could happen and also it could happen to Gardiner, so playing this as 2ako is better option). Enekwechi had great competitons in USA, throwing 21.78 and 21.91. Then he came back to Europe and threw in 21.20-21.50 range which is his normal level. He beated Walsh in last 4 competitons, but Walsh was clearly in building phase of training for Olympics. Now that Paris is approaching fast, I expect him to be better from competition to competition. I am not sure he will show it as soon as today, but those odds are too high. Because he can throw 21.80-22.20 easily today and in next competition odds for him against Nigerian will be something like 1.30.

Summary: Nene ran 45.45, but Molnar only very disappointing 45.76. Gardiner 44.50 as I expected, Kishane 9.91 totally controlled win. Walsh still not in the form, but it will come with few more competitions under his belt. So small minus today, sorry guys. Hoping to do much better on Friday in Monaco!
 
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Zaproponowane do wyróźnienia:
+1
Diamond league Monaco

Adeleke/Ellis 1 (400 K) + Hall/Morales-Williams 1 (400 M) @ 1.30*1.57 = 2.04 5/10 STSbet
Peréz/Povea 1 (trójskok K) + Tecuceanu/Robert 1 (800 M) @ 1.57*1.47 = 2.31 5/10 STSbet
zwyciężczyni 100m. K uzyska wynik 10.90s. lub lepszy TAK @ 1.84 5/10 STSbet
zwycięzca skoku wzwyż M uzyska wynik 2.31m. lub lepszy TAK @ 1.84 4/10 STSbet

Ellis had a meet of her life in Eugene trials on her home track, running 49.46. I simply do not believe she will be able to run that fast in Europe, she will probably not be able to go under 50 seconds today in my opinion and Adeleke should win this one comfortably. Quincy Hall hit form after slow start to the season and he will be only better day by day, his last 50 meters are lethal. Morales is young Canadian talent from NCAA, this is his first time in Europe ever. I think he will be happy if he goes under 45 seconds today, but that will not be enough to beat Hall. Povea was injured few months ago and she jumped in Spain alongside Perez 3 week ago and Perez beated her comfortably. Povea only jumped 3 attempts so she is clearly not 100% healthy, but even if she is, Peréz is a better jumper and should win today. Robert ran 1:44.30 in crazy fast race in Paris on Sunday, he is clearly not in good form when somebody like Crestan was able to run 1:42. Tecuceanu has a season best 1:44.01 which is due to a big revision in my opinion, he is a prototype of time-trial racer and this race today will be very fast with Arop and Sedjati in the field. I would not be surprised if he ran 1:42, but 1:43 and beating Robert will be enough for us. We have Alfred/Dina/Ta Lou in 100m today, the weather will be good in Monaco and we should see some fast times in my opinion. Alfred is in good form and she should run around 10.80-10.85, Dina ran 10.99 at Europeans with absolutely terrible start when is almost fallen so she could also run 10.90 and Ta Lou is unpredictable, she could run 10.80 or 11.10. But at least one of them will break 10.90 today I am sure. High jump has McEwen/Woo/Kerr/Harrisson/Reath in field today, I simply do not believe that 228 will be enough for a win with so many good names and at least one of them will jump 231.

Summary: Adeleke easily won with Ellis running over 50 as I predicted. Hall in new PB under 44 with Morales slightly over 45. Peréz totally beated Povea who jumped only 14.27, Tecuceanu beated Robert narrowly, running under 1:44 which I knew would be enough. Alfred ran 10.85 into a -1.0 headwind. 2 jumpers had 2.31, with Kerr also clearing 2.33. Another great day, see you next Sunday for last DL in London before the Olympics.
 
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Spitzen Leichtathletik Lucerne

B.Williams/Z.Hobbs 2 (100K bieg B) @ 1.75 5/10 STSbet
L.T.Thomas/A.Battle 1 (200 K) + Kaelin/Nichols 1 (w dal K) @ 1.40*1.75 = 2.45 4/10 STSbet
A.Manga/J.Szymanski 2 (110 pl. M) @ 2.10 5/10 STSbet

Briana ran 11.15 at Jamaican champs, last year she ran 11.02 and then few weeks later only 11.35 at this exact meeting, she is usually weaker in Europe. Zoe Hobbs is very consistent and she loves racing in Switzerland (last year ran 10.96), she should be a favourite in this duel really. Thomas is training in the same group as Adeleke or Alfred and it shows, she really improved this year and ran 22.56 in Hungary. Anavia failed to qualify in US trials running 22.41, but she always does better in US than Europe and she ran only 11.58 in 100m few days ago, she does not have any motivation to stay sharp for fast times this season unlike Thomas, who will be running 200 in Paris. Kaelin is very strong at home competitions, I expect her to jump 675+ today, Nichols jumped 673 and 643 so far in Europe, Kaelin should beat her today. Last bet is a bit speculative. Manga was supposed to run at European champs, but he was clearly injured and also skipped French champs, so I do not believe he will be in top form today (and he could well be DNS also today so the bet will be VOID). Szymanski is in great form, running 13.25 and 13.31 in the past few weeks but he could be quite inconsistent and I do not like playing him in odds under 2.00, so this bet with those odds is ideal.

Summary: Hobbs beated Williams very easily same as Thomas did with Battle. Kaelin won by only 1cm so maybe some luck for us, but she had 4 good jumps and NIchols only 1. Manga terrible as expected after injury and Szymanski really messed up his 2nd half of the race, but it was still enough to beat Manga by over a second. Another winning day, form is rising 🔥
 
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London Diamond league

Irby-Jackson/L.Nielsen 2 (400 K) @ 2.22 5/10 STSbet
Flynn/Gardasevič 2 (w dal K) @ 2.01 5/10 STSbet
Kobielski/Carmoy 1 + Hudson-Smith/Norwood 1 (400 M) @ 1.57*1.40 = 2.20 5/10 STSbet
Asher-Smith/Clark 1 (200 K) + McMaster/CJ Allen 1 (400pl. M) @ 1.40*1.70 = 2.38 5/10 STSbet

Irby ran 50.17 in SF and then 50.74 at Trials and she qualified for relay duties. She competed in 200m in Switzerland few days ago and time was really slow, I expect her to run something between 50.70-51.10 today. Nielsen ran 50.67 in Paris two weeks ago and she loves this stadium, I think she will want to run personal best today and time around 50.50. Flynn beated Gardasevič in Hungary 662 to 651. but since then she jumped 649 and 629. Milica had two not so good comptetitions, I think its time for her to step up and jump around 665-670, which should be enough to beat the American. Kobielski had dissapointing results last month, but his potential is undeniable. He had some doping accusations recently, but he dismissed them and shared a video with a personal best jump in training, so form must be good. Carmoy jumped only 218 and 216 in last two competitions, i do not think that he can beat Kobielski today. Hudson-Smith is a favourite to win today and possible to run new European record, Norwood ran great 44.34 on a fast track in Monaco but I think that is his ceiling, so Hudson-Smith really should manage to beat him. DAS will beat Clark today pretty comfortably, Clark is running terrible in Europe and Dina will be aiming to post new season best with a time around 22.00-22.10, Clark will not go under 22.50 today. McMaster ran 48.05 3 weeks ago and with Paris around corner, I expect him to be stronger today with a time around 47.50, CJ Allen is a good runner, but he will probably not run under 48 seconds today and McMaster should beat him.

Summary: Nielsen with a PB under 50 seconds, Irby 50.71 as I expected. Gardasevič 658 to Flynn´s 650 maybe closer than I thought, but stil okay. Kobielski messed up, such a shame because Carmoy jumped only 222 which is not much. Hudson Smith under 44 easily won. Asher-Smith with a nice SB under 22.10 and Clark over 22.50 as I wrote. McMaster under 48 also comfortably won against CJ.
 
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Zaproponowane do wyróźnienia:
+1
London Diamond league

M. Hudson Smith uzyska wynik 44.30s. lub lepszy TAK + N. Kaczmarek uzyska wynik 49.75s. lub lepszy TAK @ 1.84*2.01 = 3.70 3/10 STSbet
N. Kaczmarek uzyska wynik 49.50s. lub lepszy TAK @ 3.15 4/10 STSbet

Track in London is insanely fast, Reardon just ran 44.70 with a 45.99 personal best, lots of other guys ran a SB or PB. Hudson-Smith will go under 44 today if he is healthy and Kaczmarek should go around 49.50, this is a big value.

Summary: Hudson-Smith with another Euroepan record and Kaczmarek under 49 with new Polish record, easy :cool:
 
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Lausanne Diamond League

Russell/Knight 2 (400pl K) @ 3.75 4/10 STSbet
Clayton/Little 2 (400pl K) @ 3.50 3/10 STSbet
Mitton/Schilder 1 (kula K) + Saunders/Wesche 2 (kula K) @ 1.65*1.75 = 2.89 5/10 STSbet

Crazy odds here. Russell was quite bad in Paris, running couple of 54.50 and not advancing to final. Knight was not selected, but she ran in 4x400 relay and split 51.61 on 1st leg which is around her PB, I expect her to run around 54.00 today so she should be a slight favourite here. Clayton was dissapointed not to medal in Paris so she would want redemption today, but odds on Little are crazy high. In London she beated Clayton and she showed big form in relays in Paris, this is 50/50 for me. Mitton failed in Paris and she already competed throwing 20.18 and 19.20, she should beat Schilder today easily. Wesche won silver medal so maybe she was celebrating a little, but still she is much better than Saunders, who is very unstable and with a field of 11, she could have problems to throw something big in only 3 rounds.

Summary: Post Olympic hangover is real, sorry guys. I will do maximum effort to repair this bad day on Sunday with diamond league in Silesia!
 
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G 7,3K

gumazi

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Haratyk M. - Bukowiecki K. 1 kurs 1.5 sts obaj forma tragikomedia ale jednak haratyk lepszy bukowiecki to ostatnio nawet 19 m nie rzucił
 
T 28,6K

trynek85

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Haratyk M. - Bukowiecki K. 1 kurs 1.5 sts obaj forma tragikomedia ale jednak haratyk lepszy bukowiecki to ostatnio nawet 19 m nie rzucił
Ale w całym sezonie rzucał spokojnie ponad 19,jak dla mnie takie 50/50 ,ja złapałem ov.19,25 Konrada w sts.....,już linia zmieniona na 20,00 co wydaje mi się, że jednak ciut za dużo, choć w maju na tym stadionie rzucił ponad 20.W sezonie miał raptem 2-3 imprezy słabsze, liczę że dziś odbuduje się trochę po Paryżu
 
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pinio1111 179K

pinio1111

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Ale w całym sezonie rzucał spokojnie ponad 19,jak dla mnie takie 50/50 ,ja złapałem ov.19,25 Konrada w sts.....,już linia zmieniona na 20,00 co wydaje mi się, że jednak ciut za dużo, choć w maju na tym stadionie rzucił ponad 20.W sezonie miał raptem 2-3 imprezy słabsze, liczę że dziś odbuduje się trochę po Paryżu
W STS linia nadal jest 19,25, ale ja jakoś Konradowi, po blamażu na IO, nie jestem w stanie zaufać.
On chyba bardziej już jest zaaferowany ślubem z Natalią, który odbędzie się we wrześniu, niż sportowymi wynikami.
 
pinio1111 179K

pinio1111

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Anderson Peters poniżej 88,5m 1,72 STS

Oszczepnik z Grenady to klasa sama w sobie. Nie tak dawno w Lozannie rzucił ponad 90m. Jego rekord życiowy to ponad 93m.
Rzuty w granicach 88,5m to raczej norma u niego, ale dziś w Zurychu leje i w czasie zawodów ma również padać. W takich warunkach, przy mokrym rozbiegu nie wierzę żeby jakikolwiek z zawodników osiągnął taką odległość. Dla mnie ta linia to spore value.
 
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M 439

malostrawny

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Oglądał ktoś może bieg na 400 m przez plotki mężczyzn na diamentowej lidze w Zurychu? Warholm biegał czy nie? LV Bet rozliczył mi zakład na jego win w tym biegu, jako przegrany, a w ogóle nie biegał chyba…
 
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